PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 55 FOR REMNANTS OF IKE
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL092006
400 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008
...REMNANTS OF IKE RACING NORTHEAST AND PRODUCING HEAVY
RAINFALL...STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS...
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL TEXAS INTO
EASTERN LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. ADDITIONAL FLOOD AND
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF ILLINOIS...NORTHERN
INDIANA INTO SOUTHERN MICHIGAN. MANY COUNTIES ARE CURRENTLY UNDER
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
NORTHWARD INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES
REGION.
THE REMNANTS OF IKE ARE SUPPORTING STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS THRU
THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. SEVERAL STATIONS HAVE BEEN REPORTING WINDS
OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 60 MPH. THIS HAS RESULTED IN
WIDESPREAD DOWNED TREES AND STRUCTUAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS.
AT 400 PM CDT...21Z...LOW PRESSURE...WHICH WAS IKE...WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 41.6 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 84.5 WEST...OR 40 MILES
WEST OF TOLEDO...OHIO. THE LOW IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH OR 80
KM/HR.
THE LOW WILL RACE NORTHEASTWARD...ALONG A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES THIS EVENING. BY MONDAY
MORNING THE LOW WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER
VALLEY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 TO 45 MPH...65 TO 80 KM/HR...WITH
GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH...95 TO 115 KM/HR. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE WAS 990 MB...OR 29.23 INCHES.
SELECTED HIGH WIND REPORTS SINCE 700 AM SUNDAY
LOUISVILLE KY 75 MPH
COVINGTON KY 74 MPH
HUNTINGBURG IN 67 MPH
FORT KNOX KY 64 MPH
OWENSBORO KY 63 MPH
WALNUT RIDGE AR 62 MPH
POPULAR BLUFF MO 61 MPH
CINCINNATI/LUNKIN 61 MPH
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 100 PM CDT
...LOUISIANA...
NATCHITOCHES 3.68
GOLDONNA 2.57
MONROE 2.45
...TEXAS...
SPRING BRANCH (HARRIS COUNTY) 15.20
CYPRESS CREEK (HARRIS COUNTY) 14.21
HALLS BAYOU (HARRIS COUNTY) 13.94
HARRIS GULLEY (HARRIS COUNTY) 10.71
GOOSE CREEK (HARRIS COUNTY) 10.39
BUFFALO BAYOU (HARRIS COUNTY) 10.12
MISSION BEND 7.37
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 4.99
HUNTSVILLE 4.90
COLLEGE STATION 3.45
TYLER 2.69
PARIS 2.44
...ARKANSAS...
FAYETTEVILLE/DRAKE 4.35
HARRISON 2.26
FORT SMITH 2.23
...ILLINOIS...
DECATUR 5.00
PEORIA 4.74
CAHOKIA 3.69
CHAMPAIGN 3.60
SCOTT AFB 3.42
QUINCY 3.32
...MISSOURI...
FAIR GROVE 5.52
ASHLAND 5.39
JEFFERSON CITY 5.35
BUFFALO 5.28
LIBERAL 5.25
CROSS TIMBERS 5.18
BROOKFIELD 5.11
COLE CAMP 5.06
PLATTSBURG 5.06
HERMITAGE 5.06
HIGHLANDVILLE 5.02
WHEATLAND 5.02
FORNEY AAF 4.82
COLUMBIA 4.72
...KANSAS...
MCCUNE 3.80
COFFEYVILLE 3.16
...OKLAHOMA...
CLAREMORE 2.44
MUSKOGEE 2.38
SAND SPRINGS 2.10
THE REMNANTS OF IKE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL INTO
THIS EVENING OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AS IT MOVES INTO THE ST.
LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY. MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO
RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER TOTALS THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING.
A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE
SYSTEM FROM NORTHEASTERN OHIO INTO WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA...WESTERN
AND NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE AND NORTHERN VERMONT. WINDS OF 30 TO
50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE STRONGEST WINDS
SHOULD BE OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA...WESTERN
AND NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NORTHERN VERMONT.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AT 1000 PM CDT SUNDAY BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
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NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL092006
400 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008
...REMNANTS OF IKE RACING NORTHEAST AND PRODUCING HEAVY
RAINFALL...STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS...
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL TEXAS INTO
EASTERN LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. ADDITIONAL FLOOD AND
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF ILLINOIS...NORTHERN
INDIANA INTO SOUTHERN MICHIGAN. MANY COUNTIES ARE CURRENTLY UNDER
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
NORTHWARD INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES
REGION.
THE REMNANTS OF IKE ARE SUPPORTING STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS THRU
THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. SEVERAL STATIONS HAVE BEEN REPORTING WINDS
OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 60 MPH. THIS HAS RESULTED IN
WIDESPREAD DOWNED TREES AND STRUCTUAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS.
AT 400 PM CDT...21Z...LOW PRESSURE...WHICH WAS IKE...WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 41.6 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 84.5 WEST...OR 40 MILES
WEST OF TOLEDO...OHIO. THE LOW IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH OR 80
KM/HR.
THE LOW WILL RACE NORTHEASTWARD...ALONG A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES THIS EVENING. BY MONDAY
MORNING THE LOW WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER
VALLEY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 TO 45 MPH...65 TO 80 KM/HR...WITH
GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH...95 TO 115 KM/HR. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE WAS 990 MB...OR 29.23 INCHES.
SELECTED HIGH WIND REPORTS SINCE 700 AM SUNDAY
LOUISVILLE KY 75 MPH
COVINGTON KY 74 MPH
HUNTINGBURG IN 67 MPH
FORT KNOX KY 64 MPH
OWENSBORO KY 63 MPH
WALNUT RIDGE AR 62 MPH
POPULAR BLUFF MO 61 MPH
CINCINNATI/LUNKIN 61 MPH
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 100 PM CDT
...LOUISIANA...
NATCHITOCHES 3.68
GOLDONNA 2.57
MONROE 2.45
...TEXAS...
SPRING BRANCH (HARRIS COUNTY) 15.20
CYPRESS CREEK (HARRIS COUNTY) 14.21
HALLS BAYOU (HARRIS COUNTY) 13.94
HARRIS GULLEY (HARRIS COUNTY) 10.71
GOOSE CREEK (HARRIS COUNTY) 10.39
BUFFALO BAYOU (HARRIS COUNTY) 10.12
MISSION BEND 7.37
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 4.99
HUNTSVILLE 4.90
COLLEGE STATION 3.45
TYLER 2.69
PARIS 2.44
...ARKANSAS...
FAYETTEVILLE/DRAKE 4.35
HARRISON 2.26
FORT SMITH 2.23
...ILLINOIS...
DECATUR 5.00
PEORIA 4.74
CAHOKIA 3.69
CHAMPAIGN 3.60
SCOTT AFB 3.42
QUINCY 3.32
...MISSOURI...
FAIR GROVE 5.52
ASHLAND 5.39
JEFFERSON CITY 5.35
BUFFALO 5.28
LIBERAL 5.25
CROSS TIMBERS 5.18
BROOKFIELD 5.11
COLE CAMP 5.06
PLATTSBURG 5.06
HERMITAGE 5.06
HIGHLANDVILLE 5.02
WHEATLAND 5.02
FORNEY AAF 4.82
COLUMBIA 4.72
...KANSAS...
MCCUNE 3.80
COFFEYVILLE 3.16
...OKLAHOMA...
CLAREMORE 2.44
MUSKOGEE 2.38
SAND SPRINGS 2.10
THE REMNANTS OF IKE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL INTO
THIS EVENING OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AS IT MOVES INTO THE ST.
LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY. MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO
RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER TOTALS THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING.
A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE
SYSTEM FROM NORTHEASTERN OHIO INTO WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA...WESTERN
AND NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE AND NORTHERN VERMONT. WINDS OF 30 TO
50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE STRONGEST WINDS
SHOULD BE OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA...WESTERN
AND NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NORTHERN VERMONT.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AT 1000 PM CDT SUNDAY BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION IKE DISCUSSION NUMBER 53
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
500 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT IKE WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...WITH 25 TO 30 KT WINDS
AND HIGHER GUSTS OCCURRING WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE
SURFACE DATA SHOW A COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING IKE...WITH AN AREA OF
25-35 KT WINDS DEVELOPING BEHIND THE FRONT FROM SOUTHWESTERN
MISSOURI ACROSS NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA. THIS
IS THE FIRST SIGN OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION...AND IT IS EXPECTED
THAT IKE WILL LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS AS IT MERGES WITH THE FRONT. SOME RE-INTENSIFICATION IS
EXPECTED AFTER EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS COMPLETE...WITH IKE
PRODUCING GALE-FORCE WINDS UNTIL IT MERGES WITH A LARGER LOW IN
ABOUT 72 HR.
THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 045/26. IKE IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THEN CONTINUE
RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL THE SYSTEM MERGES WITH THE LARGER LOW
AT VERY HIGH LATITUDE.
THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON IKE FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
FUTURE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER IN WASHINGTON DC.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 14/0900Z 36.4N 92.5W 30 KT...INLAND
12HR VT 14/1800Z 40.4N 87.0W 30 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 15/0600Z 45.6N 76.5W 35 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 15/1800Z 50.0N 65.3W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 16/0600Z 55.0N 52.5W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 17/0600Z...MERGED WITH LARGER LOW
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
500 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT IKE WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...WITH 25 TO 30 KT WINDS
AND HIGHER GUSTS OCCURRING WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE
SURFACE DATA SHOW A COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING IKE...WITH AN AREA OF
25-35 KT WINDS DEVELOPING BEHIND THE FRONT FROM SOUTHWESTERN
MISSOURI ACROSS NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA. THIS
IS THE FIRST SIGN OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION...AND IT IS EXPECTED
THAT IKE WILL LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS AS IT MERGES WITH THE FRONT. SOME RE-INTENSIFICATION IS
EXPECTED AFTER EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS COMPLETE...WITH IKE
PRODUCING GALE-FORCE WINDS UNTIL IT MERGES WITH A LARGER LOW IN
ABOUT 72 HR.
THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 045/26. IKE IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THEN CONTINUE
RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL THE SYSTEM MERGES WITH THE LARGER LOW
AT VERY HIGH LATITUDE.
THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON IKE FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
FUTURE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER IN WASHINGTON DC.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 14/0900Z 36.4N 92.5W 30 KT...INLAND
12HR VT 14/1800Z 40.4N 87.0W 30 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 15/0600Z 45.6N 76.5W 35 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 15/1800Z 50.0N 65.3W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 16/0600Z 55.0N 52.5W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 17/0600Z...MERGED WITH LARGER LOW
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